Government Strategies Group hosted a virtual meeting for clients on November 7 to share key thoughts and takeaways about the 2024 election and where we landed here in Ohio.
As a board member of the Hamilton County Board of Elections, GSG’s Chip Gerhardt shared that election day went very smoothly and most uneventful. There was a significant increase in early voting in Hamilton County this election cycle and about a five percent drop (from 2020) in voter turnout on election day.
At the top of the ticket, Donald Trump/JD Vance won Ohio by an 11.35 percent margin. Senator Vance’s status as Vice-President elect will leave an open Senate seat here in Ohio, and his replacement will be appointed by Governor Mike DeWine. The Governor has not established a timeline for announcing the appointment. He will likely consider candidates who are not only hard workers committed to representing Ohio but also someone who can hold onto the seat in a 2026 special election to serve the balance of Senator Vance’s term (which ends in 2028), and then be ready to run for re-election.
In a race that was watched across the nation, Bernie Moreno defeated incumbent Senator Sherrod Brown with over 50 percent of the vote shifting the balance of power in the U.S. Senate to Republicans.
Incumbent Democrat Congressman Greg Landsman (OH-1) won his first bid for re-election with 54 percent of the vote versus Republican candidate Orlando Sonza. Landsman received more Democrat votes in Hamilton County than all votes cast in Warren County. At this time, there aren’t any expected changes to the Ohio Congressional delegation, although incumbent Congresswoman Marcy Kaptur’s (OH-9) race versus challenger State Representative Derrik Merrin is still too close to call.
At the state level, the Republicans increased their majority in the Ohio Supreme Court where voters elected Republicans in all three races creating a significant shift from 4-3 to 6-1.
There are some slight changes in the Ohio General Assembly. Republicans maintained a majority. Democrats picking up 2 seats in each Chamber. We will see four new faces in our delegation here in SW Ohio, including Karen Brownlee (D-28), Mike Odioso (R-30), Diane Mullins (R-47), and Michelle Teska (R-55).
The Ohio House Republican Caucus may take an informal, private vote for Speaker, potentially next week. GSG will keep you posted as the battle for Speaker unfolds in the coming weeks.
Issue 1 failed by 7.56 percent which means that the process for drawing Congressional and State Assembly districts will not change in Ohio.
Closer to home, the polls told a different story where Democrats maintained a stronghold. In Hamilton County, the unofficial Presidential race results were 226,763 votes for Vice President Harris and 168,584 for former President Trump. The trend continued down the ticket with a strong coordinated campaign effort among Democrats which resulted in wins for Democrats in most county wide elections, including the County Commission, re-election of two judges, and the election of three new judges. Governor DeWine will appoint a new Hamilton County Court of Common Pleas judge to replace Megan Shanahan who was elected to the Ohio Supreme Court. Finally, in a historic vote, Connie Pillich was the first female and Democrat elected as Prosecuting Attorney in Hamilton County in 92 years.
Additionally, the two Hamilton County tax levies, Developmental Disabilities and Family Services, also passed handily in Hamilton County despite the statewide trend that saw many local property tax levies fail.
Chip Gerhardt wrapped up the conversation by encouraging clients to reach out and engage with GSG as we all navigate the changing landscape of local, state, and federal government in the coming weeks and months.
About GSG
Government Strategies Group is a bipartisan Government Relations, Economic Development, Public Policy & Communications Strategy firm. We are one of the top lobbying firms in Ohio


